IM Predictions


Submit your Picks for Challenge Dubai
on 27. February 2015

Men's Participants

Pick the first five finishers.

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Name Position Winner Top3 Luke says Luke Dragstra
Bart Aernouts15 pts10 ptsI know the the joke has been driven into the ground but Doh! Bart!! is what a lot of the startlist is saying.. Bart is one of the most consistent and best triathletes in the world period
Paul Ambrose20 pts10 ptsAmbrose, keeping er going!! May be somewhat in the mix after the bike ride but just doesn't have the running ability to compete here
Igor Amorelli20 pts15 ptsthe Brazillian Blast should be in the mix on the bike but won't be able to hang on the run
Mauro Baertsch20 pts15 pts
Herve Banti20 pts15 pts
Per Bittner20 pts15 ptsPer will likely get spat on the bike and his running ability won't get him back onto the mix.
Terenzo Bozzone15 pts10 ptsThe ex world champ needs to find his old form if he wants to be a contender in these big races.. top 10 for sure but he doesn't seem to have the real after burners to make a podium here
Niels Brandt-Joergensen20 pts15 pts
Tyler Butterfield20 pts10 ptsTyler started the year well last year and despite being very focussed on the big races at the end of the year he came off flat.. could start the year on a rampage to prove himself or it could be he still can't find that magical form he seemed to have for about a year.
Fraser Cartmell20 pts10 ptsWon't be a big factor with all the big guns lining up here.
Will Clarke15 pts10 ptsClarke can rip a good half but doen't often go good in a big field full of big guns firing big bullets
Massimo Cigana20 pts15 ptsSame as Fraser, Massimo still pops a podium here and there in weaker fields but isn't complete enough in all 3 legs to be a factor
Maurice Clavel20 pts15 ptsMaurice Clavel, IMMER schnell - Kienle himself rates this kid as a big potential.. he is still feeling out the middle distance but had big finish in Wiesbaden last year... I would call him a darkhorse for the podium.. I am going out on a limb, but is what you do sometimes.
Balazs Csoke20 pts15 ptsA great swimmer but a non-factor here in Dubai.
James Cunnama20 pts10 ptsJames has been struggling a bit since his big Kona performance in 2013. If he finds the form he had then he could mix it up, but likely he will be top 10, and not top3.
Richie Cunningham15 pts10 ptsRichie went big early last year and had an avg season.. he might be hungry again and surprise this field with a top 5
Victor Del Corral20 pts15 ptsThe phenom of late 2013 has been pretty quite since.. won't be a factor here.
Andreas Dreitz15 pts10 ptsEveryone has their eye on 'Muscles-Dreitz'... he started and finished last year with some big performances... wants to step up and be the next big bike powerhouse.
Robert Duncan20 pts15 pts
Markus Fachbach20 pts15 ptsCan't see Fachbach mixing it up in Dubai.. always hearalded as a big talent he has shown potential in smaller events but doesn't seem to be solid enough to break through in the big races.
Nicolas Fernandez20 pts15 pts
Matt Franklin20 pts15 pts
Jan Frodeno10 pts5 ptsIt should be another showdown between Frodo and Gomez.. maybe the big German will find a chink in the Spaniards armour - he has before.
Joe Gambles15 pts10 ptsSmoking Joe, the Tazzy devil will be fighting for the podium as usual.. trying to move up to Full distance but is one of the most consistently dangerous half distance fella's
Olivier Godart20 pts15 pts
Javier Gomez10 pts5 ptsGomez should take this one out,unless Frodo can get away a little sooner on the bike or someone else manages a big bike break.
Leon Griffin20 pts15 ptsGriffindor could mix it up for top 5r so..solid all the way throught but unlikely to challenge the stars.
Daniel Halksworth20 pts15 ptsWill hang through the swim and bike and might even push the pace, but will fall out of contention on the run
Ben Hoffman15 pts10 ptsThe HOFF! the biggest surprise of last year. He has had solid half distance performances but I would suggest it doubtful he will make the podium or even the top 5. I
Mikita Hryhoryeu20 pts15 pts
Pete Jacobs15 pts10 ptsWe keep waiting to see when PJ will find his old form again and when we will see his name in the top portion of result lists.. doubtful this will be his big comeback... maybe later in the year.
Martin Jensen20 pts15 ptsThe great Dane often comes out blazing in the early season.. I could see him coming up with a top 5 or so but he would be a real wildcard pick.
Brad Kahlefeldt20 pts15 ptsSticksy will not hang on the bike.. he may run some guys down but won't likely be in contention.
Nick Kastelein20 pts15 pts
Matthias Knossalla20 pts15 pts
Manuel Kueng20 pts15 ptsHad a few surprizing results last year, but shouldn't be a factor in Dubai.
Patrick Lange20 pts15 ptsDeadly in the german bundesliga but we having seen him perform in big international races.. He is kind of small to be a factor on a flat and windy course
Markus Liebelt20 pts15 pts
Eneko Llanos15 pts10 ptsLlanos hasn't shown any real Daddy power since becoming a family man.. he was unbeatable in the 'regular season' a few years back but he isn't exactly a spring chicken either.
Paul Matthews20 pts15 ptsBarney is a bit hot and cold but when he is hot he is hot.. haven't seen big half results from him in championship calibre fields so I would stick to the big guns.
Luke McKenzie15 pts10 ptsLuke is another guy who had his big 'almost' in Kona and hasn't had that form since.. if he did this would be a great course for him, but he isn't a real half distance specialist
David Mcnamee20 pts15 pts
Giulio Molinari20 pts15 pts
Michael Murphy20 pts15 pts
Ritchie Nicholls20 pts15 ptsRitchie struggled a bit last year and despite real running ability I doubt he will be in the mix after the bike... seemed to have been Sutto-ized and a lot of these guys never get there Sutton form back.
Evgeniy Nikitin20 pts15 pts
Timothy O'Donnell15 pts10 ptsTOD had big expectations last and had to watch them come crashing down.. will be interesting how the ex navy seal shakes it off and goes back to business this year.
Gilian Oriet20 pts15 pts
Filip Ospaly20 pts15 ptsFilip can destroy worlds in smaller fields but it seems when they are really packed up he has trouble staying in contention.. a great runner and solid all the way, he could be a factor but I wouldn't bet on him
Domenico Passuello20 pts15 ptsEx pro biker i believe and has been pretty strong over the half distance but like so many guys here they will be measured against Frodo and Gomez and they come up short.
Jens Petersen-Bach20 pts15 ptsDanish dynamite won't be exploding in Dubai this year... You'll have to wait for IM CPH for that.
Rasmus Petraeus20 pts15 ptswill have a hard time haning in this big field
David Plese20 pts10 ptsA multiple full distance champ but will be 'middle-of-the-pack' here in Dubai
Andy Potts15 pts5 ptsI didn't see Potts lining up so early in the year... Versatile and consistent as can be I would put him in around 5th or so.
Michael Raelert10 pts5 ptsLittle Raelert showed he is once again a force to reckon with.. Could challenge Gomez and Frodo but I have my doubts.
Ivan Rana15 pts10 ptsIvan has the arsenal to well here but my feeling is he won't be in top form till summer and we won't see big half distance results from him.
Timothy Reed20 pts15 ptsTim Reed, like Gambles is one of the best over this distance and seems to keep getting better... definate top 5 contender.. maybe a dark horse for the pode
Horst Reichel20 pts10 ptsHorst was a little hot and cold last year.. most don't realize he dominated in Sweden last year with loose seatpost... likely a non factor in Dubai, unless maybe the loose seatpost thing works, in that case he should take a 5mm allen key along.
Joshua Rix20 pts15 ptsThe solid handsome journeyman will be middle of the pack in the world class field
Michael Ruenz20 pts15 pts
Till Schramm20 pts15 ptsThe pride of Cologne will waging war out there to be sure!
Frank Schreiner20 pts15 pts
Joe Skipper20 pts15 pts
Todd Skipworth20 pts15 pts
Milosz Sowinski20 pts15 pts
Allan Steen olesen20 pts15 pts
Sylvain Sudrie20 pts15 ptsThe Slim Shady of France is one of the most inconsistent potential superstars in the field.. you could pick him as a wild card, but I won't
Jan Van Berkel20 pts15 ptsJan, Tim's Swiss evil twin - well actually Tim is probably the evil twin of Jan - loves to lay it all on the line.. You might see him gunning for it with everything but probably won't last through the run.
Tim Van Berkel20 pts10 ptsTim will be looking good out there, esp once the swim is over.. will be further up than middle of the pack but will probably be saving his power to see if he replicate his last years Kona performance - if he knows what's good for him, anyway.
Eric Watson20 pts15 pts
Michael Weiss20 pts15 ptsthe yodling ex-mtb pro turned unapologetic triathlete will likely rip through the bike after an avg swim .. could come through for a top 10 or so
Ruedi Wild20 pts15 ptsRuedi is a bit of a wild card assuming he can hang in there on the bike.. I think hilly courses suit him better.
Lukasz Wojt20 pts15 pts
Trevor Wurtele20 pts15 ptsTrevor will be the first 6ft6 finisher and the first canadian across the line... could sneak in for a top10 overall too
Rafael Wyss20 pts15 pts

Women's Participants

Pick the first five finishers.

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Name Position Winner Top3 Luke says Luke Dragstra
Indre Barkute20 pts15 pts
Svenja Bazlen15 pts10 ptsSvenja doesn't mess around when it comes to racing.. she will probably chase Jodie Swallow as long as she can.. will probably succomb to the faster runners, as will Jodes.
Anja Beranek20 pts10 ptsAnja is another aggressive racing German. She thrives in uncomfortable conditions so she could be a factor if the winds are a blowin'
Svetlana Blazevic20 pts15 pts
Lauren Brandon20 pts15 pts
Valentina Carvallo20 pts15 pts
Deirdre Casey20 pts15 pts
Leanda Cave15 pts10 ptsLeanda should be in the top10 mix the but 2012 Kona Champ just hasn't shown the ability to win events like this of late.
Susie Cheetham20 pts15 pts
Dimity-Lee Duke20 pts15 pts
Caio Ferreira20 pts15 pts
Helle Frederiksen10 pts5 ptsHelle fast! Helle has shown late last year that she is one of the greats over this distance and after he big win in Bahrain last year she has confidence racing in the desert.
Melissa Hauschildt15 pts10 ptsMel has been back in winning form unless I am mistaken but will have her work cut out for her if she wants to catch the stacked field ahead of her.
Alice Hector20 pts15 pts
Alicia Kaye20 pts15 ptsAlicia can really rip the 5i50 races and should be able to factor into this race if she can handle the distance and conditions
Meredith Kessler15 pts10 ptsMeredith is always a factor. She will be put out of podium contention on the run but could be in the mix until late into the race.
Carrie Lester20 pts15 ptsCarrie should be top 10-15 or so but won't be butting heads with the big stars here.
Annabel Luxford15 pts10 ptsAnabel had some misfortune last year but if she is back on full cylinders she is a podium threat.
Jenny Nilsson20 pts15 pts
Camilla Pedersen15 pts10 ptsCamilla hasn't shown real brilliance since 2013, maybe a few glimmers last year but if she hasn't gotten into better shape than last fall she will ahve to settle for 10th or so.
Lucie Reed20 pts15 ptsLucie will be gunning it early but will fall well back on the run.
Daniela Ryf10 pts5 ptsDaniella is the reigning champ and if she is back in her 2014 shape only Helle and a small handful of others may have a chance against her.
Daniela Saemmler20 pts15 pts
Caroline Steffen15 pts10 ptsXena is a good top5 pick but lacks the run speed to match the real specialists on this list.
Alena Stevens20 pts15 pts
Jodie Swallow10 pts5 ptsJodie really surpises people with her running ability.. if she gets enough room on the bike she will be hard to catch.. could see a breakway with her and the swiss miss.
Yvonne Van Vlerken15 pts10 ptsthe Flying dutchwoman is not a spring chicken anymore but could factor into the top 10 or so.
Michelle Vesterby20 pts10 ptsMichelle is another real consistent racer but lacks the fire power to be a big threat.
Radka Vodickova20 pts15 ptsRadka is slowly breaking onto the scene as a force to reckon with.. I would give her a wildcard spot for a top 5.
Heather Wurtele15 pts10 ptsHeather ripped her way to big finish at 70.3 worlds last year.. she could do something similar here if she is close enough to the top 3 halfway through the run.
Eva Wutti15 pts10 ptsEva has shown some great Full distance ability but we haven't seen her battle with these great names all in one race so I would suggest 10th at best for her.

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